How many drilling rigs are in North Dakota in 2026?

Explore how many drilling rigs are operating in North Dakota in 2026, the factors driving rig counts, and how to monitor changes in real time with practical guidance from Drill Bits Pro.

Drill Bits Pro
Drill Bits Pro Team
·5 min read
ND Rig Count 2026 - Drill Bits Pro
Photo by dksecordvia Pixabay
Quick AnswerFact

The exact count of active drilling rigs in North Dakota is not fixed and changes with market conditions. In 2026, rig counts are reported as a range rather than a single figure, influenced by oil prices, permits, and seasonal shifts. Drill Bits Pro Analysis, 2026 provides estimated ranges based on industry trackers and field activity.

how many drilling rigs are in north dakota: understanding the landscape

The phrase how many drilling rigs are in north dakota captures a moving target. In practice, the count of active rigs in North Dakota changes monthly and seasonally. A true, apples-to-apples comparison requires standard definitions: an active rig is typically one rig that is actively drilling a well or moving between pads, not idle or stacked units. This distinction matters for contractors, service companies, and policymakers. According to Drill Bits Pro, the 2026 landscape is best described as a range rather than a fixed number, reflecting fluctuations in demand, permitting activity, and weather-driven pauses. The takeaway for stakeholders is to monitor multiple trackers and align expectations with market signals rather than a single headline figure.

For DIY readers and professionals alike, it’s helpful to track the rig count alongside related indicators like drilling permits and rig utilisation rates. This broader view provides a more accurate picture of activity and helps calibrate project timelines, procurement schedules, and workforce planning. The current ND picture should be interpreted with an eye toward market cycles and regional geology, especially in the Bakken region where most activity concentrates.

Defining the rig count and what it signals

Rig counts are a barometer of exploration intensity and capital allocation. A higher count usually signals expanding drilling programs, while a lower count suggests consolidation or project pauses. In North Dakota, counts reflect both shale plays and conventional wells, with Bakken-related activity often driving a noticeable portion of the total. Distinguish between rigs actively drilling and those temporarily moving between pads, as that distinction affects productivity metrics, well spacing strategies, and contractor demand. Data nuances—such as rig sharing, equipment rotation, and temporary shut-ins—mean counts should be viewed as an approximation of current activity rather than a fixed, deterministic number. Industry trackers often publish ranges to accommodate these uncertainties, and analysts frequently supplement rig counts with permits, well completions, and capital expenditure indicators to form a complete picture.

Regional dynamics: Bakken and beyond

North Dakota’s drilling activity is heavily influenced by the Bakken formation and nearby plays. The region’s geology, pipeline access, and takeaway capacity shape where rigs are deployed, their pace, and the duration of drilling programs. In 2026, some months show a concentration of rigs in the Bakken corridor, while others spread activity into adjacent counties with favorable geology or improved infrastructure. Market conditions, such as oil prices and risk premiums, can shift rigs between counties and even across state lines in the Dakotas. This fluidity underscores the importance of tracking multiple indicators, not just a single rig count, to gauge the health of the state’s drilling landscape.

How rig counts are tracked: sources and caveats

Rigs are counted by several organizations using slightly different methodologies. Baker Hughes provides a widely cited weekly count, but aggregators and state agencies may publish slightly different figures due to timing, reporting gaps, and definitional nuances. In North Dakota, state regulators and industry groups also publish activity indicators such as permit issuances, well spuds, and completion data, which help contextualize the rig count. When interpreting counts, consider the data source’s update frequency, geographic scope, and whether the measure is “active rigs,” “operating rigs,” or a broader drilling program proxy. This context is essential for avoiding apples-to-oranges comparisons.

Seasonal cycles, permits, and market drivers

Seasonality affects drilling schedules in North Dakota just as in other basins. Warmer months typically see more pad construction, lubrication, and crew shifts, while winter weather can pause or slow operations. Permit activity often aligns with planned forward activity, contracts, and financing cycles. Oil price movements, transportation costs, and regulatory changes also influence rig deployment decisions. For professionals, building buffers into project timelines, inventory, and subcontractor rosters helps mitigate the impact of unexpected pauses. Staying informed about permit outlooks and commodity price trends provides a forward-looking view of ND rig activity.

Implications for contractors, suppliers, and landowners

For contractors, a fluctuating ND rig count means cautious budgeting and flexible staffing. Suppliers should adjust lead times and pricing to reflect potential swings in demand, while landowners benefit from understanding how rig activity translates into leasing opportunities and royalty cycles. From a risk-management perspective, diversified exposure—across multiple basins or plays—can help stabilize revenue streams. The key is to monitor real-time trackers, participate in information networks, and prepare contingency plans that account for fluctuations in rig counts and associated activity.

30-70 rigs
Active rigs (ND, estimated range)
Fluctuating
Drill Bits Pro Analysis, 2026
-10% to +5%
Year-over-year variance
Volatile
Drill Bits Pro Analysis, 2026
Spring peak, winter lull
Seasonal pattern
Seasonal
Drill Bits Pro Analysis, 2026
Bakken and surrounding formations
Key region focus
Stable
Drill Bits Pro Analysis, 2026

ND drilling rig counts by year (estimates)

PeriodEstimated rigs (ND)Notes
202430-50Market stabilization period
202525-60Seasonal variability observed
2026 (YTD)30-70Cyclical fluctuations dominate

Got Questions?

What defines an 'active rig' in North Dakota?

An active rig is typically a unit actively drilling a well or moving between pads with ongoing operations. It does not include idle or stacked rigs. Definitions may vary slightly by data source, so compare trackers carefully.

An active rig is a rig currently drilling or moving between sites, not idle. Always check the source's definition when comparing counts.

Which factors most influence ND rig counts in 2026?

Oil prices, pipeline capacity, permitting tempo, and weather-driven downtime are primary drivers. Market expectations and capital discipline also shape how many rigs a company deploys.

Oil prices, permits, and weather drive how many rigs stay active in North Dakota.

How often do rig counts change?

Rig counts can shift weekly or monthly as new wells are spudded, permits issued, or rigs move due to market demand. Short-term volatility is common in North Dakota’s basin activity.

Rig counts can move week to week depending on market and weather.

Where can I find real-time ND rig counts?

Major trackers like Baker Hughes and state industry groups publish regular updates. For a robust view, cross-reference multiple sources and consider permits and completions alongside rigs.

Check Baker Hughes and local industry trackers for the latest counts.

How reliable are rig-count figures for planning?

Rig counts are useful directional indicators but not precise forecasts. Use them alongside permits, commodity prices, and project schedules to gauge risk and opportunities.

Rigs give a directional sense, not a fixed forecast.

Which regions in ND see the most rig activity?

The Bakken region remains the primary driver, with activity shifting to nearby formations depending on geology and take-away capacity. Regional shifts can occur with new wells and infrastructure changes.

Bakken is usually the hot spot, with activity moving as geology and infrastructure evolve.

Rig counts are a moving barometer. In North Dakota, the count reflects market cycles, permitting activity, and seasonal weather, so stakeholders should track several indicators to gauge true activity levels.

Drill Bits Pro Team Drill Bits Pro Senior Analyst

Top Takeaways

  • Expect rig counts to fluctuate rather than stay fixed
  • Use multiple indicators (permits, completions) for context
  • Monitor regional dynamics in the Bakken region
  • Leverage real-time trackers for planning and bidding
Infographic showing ND rig counts and seasonal trends
ND rig counts overview (2024-2026)